Illinois State
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
400  Ariel Michalek SO 20:47
444  Kimberly Christensen SR 20:52
516  Kelly McShea JR 20:57
776  Haley Goers JR 21:18
1,399  Kimberly Sanden JR 21:57
1,602  Krista DeCeault JR 22:09
1,678  Ashley Kamin SR 22:13
1,812  Ashley England FR 22:23
2,249  Sydney Billingsley FR 22:50
2,890  Kaley Ummel JR 23:45
3,258  Lindsey Lewis FR 24:33
National Rank #112 of 341
Midwest Region Rank #14 of 36
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 13th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 1.1%
Top 10 in Regional 24.8%
Top 20 in Regional 99.2%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Ariel Michalek Kimberly Christensen Kelly McShea Haley Goers Kimberly Sanden Krista DeCeault Ashley Kamin Ashley England Sydney Billingsley Kaley Ummel Lindsey Lewis
Roy Griak Invitational 09/27 1154 20:45 21:31 22:22 21:20 21:46 21:50 22:50
Bradley Pink Classic 10/17 1060 20:53 20:41 20:50 21:23 21:53 22:22 22:16 22:25 23:36 24:21
Illini Open 10/24 23:56 24:48
Missouri Valley Championships 11/01 1021 20:52 20:49 20:30 21:09 21:51 22:10 22:09 22:31
Midwest Region Championships 11/14 1098 20:38 20:47 21:20 22:11 22:11 22:37 22:09





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 12.7 379 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.3 2.9 4.8 7.2 7.4 9.6 11.5 13.1 11.2 11.0 7.5 5.0 3.2 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ariel Michalek 0.0% 139.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ariel Michalek 41.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.7 1.0 0.8 1.3 1.1 1.5 1.2
Kimberly Christensen 46.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.8 1.1
Kelly McShea 54.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.4
Haley Goers 85.5
Kimberly Sanden 147.9
Krista DeCeault 163.9
Ashley Kamin 169.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 0.1% 0.1 3
4 0.2% 0.2 4
5 0.8% 0.8 5
6 1.3% 1.3 6
7 2.9% 2.9 7
8 4.8% 4.8 8
9 7.2% 7.2 9
10 7.4% 7.4 10
11 9.6% 9.6 11
12 11.5% 11.5 12
13 13.1% 13.1 13
14 11.2% 11.2 14
15 11.0% 11.0 15
16 7.5% 7.5 16
17 5.0% 5.0 17
18 3.2% 3.2 18
19 1.5% 1.5 19
20 0.8% 0.8 20
21 0.3% 0.3 21
22 0.2% 0.2 22
23 0.2% 0.2 23
24 0.1% 0.1 24
25 25
26 0.0% 0.0 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Southern Illinois 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0